Week 12. Let's do it.
Mills: 5-3-1; +$200
W $100 Cowboys (-13.5)
L $100 Giants (-7)
W $100 Colts (-3.5)
L $100 Addai OVER
P $100 B. Edwards OVER
W $100 Cutler OVER
W $100 49ers (-3)
L $100 Patriots (+3)
W PRESEASON PICK: $50 Bengals OVER 7 wins +$100
Kessler: 1-3; -$200
L $100 Pats (+3)
L $10 Rams (+3)
W $10 Colts (-3.5)
L $100 Parlay - Bucs (+12), Panthers (+3), Redskins (+9)
J Furnas: 2-3; +$10
W $300 Colts (-3.5)
L $100 Patriots (+3)
L $100 Panthers (+3)
L $100 Bengals (-14)
W PRESEASON PICK: $5 Colts OVER 10 wins +$10
Saunders: 3-6; -$175
W $100 Packers (-11)
L $50 Bears (+10.5)
L $50 Panthers (+3)
L $100 Patriots (+3)
W $50 Seahawks (-3)
L $100 Cardinals-Titans OVER 45.5 pts
W $50 Addai UNDER 89.5 rush + rec yds
L $50 C. Palmer OVER 232.5 passing yds
L $25 Parlay - Dolphins (-3), Bucs (+12), Chargers (-13.5)
Mansfield: 2-3; +$575
W $700 Packers (-11)
W $50 Cowboys (-13.5)
L $100 Eagles (-9)
L $50 Jaguars (+3)
L $25 Parlay - Packers (-11), Cowboys (-13.5), Eagles (-9)
Shade: 3-1; +$860
W $300 Cutler OVER 2.5 TDs + INTs
L $10 Jags (+3)
W $10 Jets (-3)
W $80 Parlay - Redskins (+9), Colts (-3.5), Browns-Bengals UNDER 39 pts +$560
Strait: 2-2; +$300
L $10 Giants (-7)
W $200 Colts (-3.5)
W $200 Vikings (-10.5)
L $90 Parlay - Dolphins (-3), Eagles (-9), Jaguars (+3)
Hill: 2-2; +$110
W $100 Packers (-11)
L $20 Parlay - Packers (-11), Dolphins (-3), Vikings (-10.5)
L $10 Dolphins (-3)
W $10 Vikings (-10.5)
B Furnas: 2-2; -$50
L $150 Parlay - Packers (-11), Cowboys (-13.5), Giants (-7)
W $100 Colts (-3.5)
W $50 Seahawks (-3)
L $50 Panthers (+3)
Mobley: 2-2; +$50
W $150 Jets (-3)
W $50 Colts (-3.5)
L $50 Patriots (+3)
L $50 Parlay - Palmer OVER, Cutler OVER, Browns-Bengals UNDER 39 pts
Eller: 2-2; -$110
W $10 Colts (-3.5)
W $10 Vikings (-10.5)
L $10 Eagles (-9)
L $110 Parlay - Colts (-3.5), Vikings (-10.5), Eagles (-9)
Hall: no picks; -$100
These past few weeks Hall's strategy has defied conventional wisdom. But then again, Hall's an unconventional guy. The world's a twisted place.
Sunday, November 29, 2009
Saturday, November 28, 2009
WEEK 12 LINES
First, let's get to a late week 11 recap:
- Mills continues his steady winning streak, even winning the stupid Matt Schaub bet that somehow ended up covering. O'Doyell I got a feeling your whole family's going down.
- Kessler hits his second big parlay of the year vaulting him to second place alone.
- Jay, reeling from the past few weeks, bounced back with a huge week to grab third place.
- Three people (including myself) were stupid enough to put money on the Panthers. Never again.
- I still don't know how the Giants didn't cover. Coughlin blows.
On to week 12. As a reminder, this is a bonus week if you can get into the top 5. Here are your lines...
THANKSGIVING DAY
Packers (-11) @ Lions
Raiders @ Cowboys (-13.5)
Giants (-7) @ Broncos
(Wow. Could be the worst slate of Thanksgiving games...well, since last year.)
SUNDAY
Colts (-3.5) @ Texans
Browns @ Bengals (-14)
Redskins @ Eagles (-9)
Dolphins (-3) @ Bills
Seahawks (-3) @ Rams
Bucs @ Falcons (-12)
Panthers @ Jets (-3)
Jags @ 49ers (-3)
Chiefs @ Chargers (-13.5)
Bears @ Vikings (-10.5)
Cardinals @ Titans (OFF)
Steelers @ Ravens (OFF)
MONDAY
Patriots @ Saints (-3)
PLAYA PROPS
J. Cutler (CHI) o/u 2.5 pass TDs + INTs
C. Palmer (CIN) o/u 232.5 pass yds
J. Addai (IND) o/u 89.5 rushing + receiving yds
B. Edwards (NYJ) o/u 3 receptions
M. Jones-Drew (JAX) o/u 118.5 rushing + receiving yds
GAME PROPS: ALL TOTALS
Colts-Texans o/u 47.5 total pts
Browns-Bengals o/u 39 total pts
Cardinals-Titans o/u 45.5 total pts
Bears-Vikings o/u 47 total pts
Patriots-Saints o/u 56.5 total pts
- Mills continues his steady winning streak, even winning the stupid Matt Schaub bet that somehow ended up covering. O'Doyell I got a feeling your whole family's going down.
- Kessler hits his second big parlay of the year vaulting him to second place alone.
- Jay, reeling from the past few weeks, bounced back with a huge week to grab third place.
- Three people (including myself) were stupid enough to put money on the Panthers. Never again.
- I still don't know how the Giants didn't cover. Coughlin blows.
On to week 12. As a reminder, this is a bonus week if you can get into the top 5. Here are your lines...
THANKSGIVING DAY
Packers (-11) @ Lions
Raiders @ Cowboys (-13.5)
Giants (-7) @ Broncos
(Wow. Could be the worst slate of Thanksgiving games...well, since last year.)
SUNDAY
Colts (-3.5) @ Texans
Browns @ Bengals (-14)
Redskins @ Eagles (-9)
Dolphins (-3) @ Bills
Seahawks (-3) @ Rams
Bucs @ Falcons (-12)
Panthers @ Jets (-3)
Jags @ 49ers (-3)
Chiefs @ Chargers (-13.5)
Bears @ Vikings (-10.5)
Cardinals @ Titans (OFF)
Steelers @ Ravens (OFF)
MONDAY
Patriots @ Saints (-3)
PLAYA PROPS
J. Cutler (CHI) o/u 2.5 pass TDs + INTs
C. Palmer (CIN) o/u 232.5 pass yds
J. Addai (IND) o/u 89.5 rushing + receiving yds
B. Edwards (NYJ) o/u 3 receptions
M. Jones-Drew (JAX) o/u 118.5 rushing + receiving yds
GAME PROPS: ALL TOTALS
Colts-Texans o/u 47.5 total pts
Browns-Bengals o/u 39 total pts
Cardinals-Titans o/u 45.5 total pts
Bears-Vikings o/u 47 total pts
Patriots-Saints o/u 56.5 total pts
Sunday, November 22, 2009
WEEK 11 PICKS/RESULTS
Week 11...one year ago this week was the week it all began. Now look at us. Look at how we've grown.
Look at Abdul. A year ago, Abdul here had a one way ticket to an arranged marriage with a broad he'd never met in Bangledesh. Now he's crushing a** every Thursday night at our mixers.
Inspiring. Let's get to this week's selections:
Mills: 4-2; +$200
W $100 Colts (-1)
L $100 Cardinals (-9)
W $100 Vikings (-10.5)
L $100 Bears (+3)
W $100 Titans-Texans OVER 3 sacks
W $100 Schaub OVER 24.5 completions
Shade: 2-3; -$200
L $100 Panthers (-3)
L $200 Giants (-6.5)
L $100 Ravens (+1)
W $100 Redskins (+11)
W $100 Rams (+9)
Kessler: 3-1; +$710
W $10 Raiders (+9.5)
L $10 Steelers (-10)
W $10 Colts (-1)
W $100 Parlay - Titans (+4.5), Eagles (-3), Redskins (+11)
Mansfield: 1-3; -$300
L $200 Steelers (-10)
W $100 Colts (-1)
L $100 Bengals (-9.5)
L $100 Texans (-4.5)
Saunders: 6-3; +$175
W $100 Colts (-1)
W $50 Vikings (-10.5)
L $50 Steelers (-10)
W $50 Patriots (-10.5)
W $25 Redskins (+11)
L $25 Giants (-6.5)
W $25 Titans-Texans UNDER 48 pts
W $25 Titans-Texans OVER 3 sacks
L $25 Andre Johnson OVER 92.5 rec yds
J Furnas: 3-1; +$650
W $400 Colts (-1)
W $250 Saints (-11)
L $25 Bengals (-9.5)
W $25 Eagles (-3)
Strait: 1-3; -$215
L $200 Giants (-6.5)
W $200 Vikings (-10.5)
L $150 Steelers (-10)
L $65 Parlay - Cardinals (-9), Saints (-11), Packers (-6.5)
Hill: 1-3; -$240
L $100 Parlay - Panthers (-3), ****, ****
L $150 Jaguars (-8.5)
W $20 Vikings (-10.5)
L $10 Cardinals (-9)
B Furnas: 3-2; +$55
W $50 Vikings (-10.5)
W $25 Browns (+3.5)
L $50 Steelers (-10)
W $50 Saints (-11)
L $20 Parlay - C. Johnson OVER, Cowboys (-11), Bengals (-9.5)
Hall:
No picks. It's a bold strategy Cotton, let's see how that plays out for him.
Mobley: 2-2; +$80
W $90 Saints (-11)
L $10 Giants (-6.5)
L $10 Lions (-3.5)
W $10 Chiefs (+10)
Eller: 2-2, -$60
L $70 Panthers (-3)
W $10 Patriots (-10.5)
W $10 Colts (-1)
L $10 Steelers (-10)
Look at Abdul. A year ago, Abdul here had a one way ticket to an arranged marriage with a broad he'd never met in Bangledesh. Now he's crushing a** every Thursday night at our mixers.
Inspiring. Let's get to this week's selections:
Mills: 4-2; +$200
W $100 Colts (-1)
L $100 Cardinals (-9)
W $100 Vikings (-10.5)
L $100 Bears (+3)
W $100 Titans-Texans OVER 3 sacks
W $100 Schaub OVER 24.5 completions
Shade: 2-3; -$200
L $100 Panthers (-3)
L $200 Giants (-6.5)
L $100 Ravens (+1)
W $100 Redskins (+11)
W $100 Rams (+9)
Kessler: 3-1; +$710
W $10 Raiders (+9.5)
L $10 Steelers (-10)
W $10 Colts (-1)
W $100 Parlay - Titans (+4.5), Eagles (-3), Redskins (+11)
Mansfield: 1-3; -$300
L $200 Steelers (-10)
W $100 Colts (-1)
L $100 Bengals (-9.5)
L $100 Texans (-4.5)
Saunders: 6-3; +$175
W $100 Colts (-1)
W $50 Vikings (-10.5)
L $50 Steelers (-10)
W $50 Patriots (-10.5)
W $25 Redskins (+11)
L $25 Giants (-6.5)
W $25 Titans-Texans UNDER 48 pts
W $25 Titans-Texans OVER 3 sacks
L $25 Andre Johnson OVER 92.5 rec yds
J Furnas: 3-1; +$650
W $400 Colts (-1)
W $250 Saints (-11)
L $25 Bengals (-9.5)
W $25 Eagles (-3)
Strait: 1-3; -$215
L $200 Giants (-6.5)
W $200 Vikings (-10.5)
L $150 Steelers (-10)
L $65 Parlay - Cardinals (-9), Saints (-11), Packers (-6.5)
Hill: 1-3; -$240
L $100 Parlay - Panthers (-3), ****, ****
L $150 Jaguars (-8.5)
W $20 Vikings (-10.5)
L $10 Cardinals (-9)
B Furnas: 3-2; +$55
W $50 Vikings (-10.5)
W $25 Browns (+3.5)
L $50 Steelers (-10)
W $50 Saints (-11)
L $20 Parlay - C. Johnson OVER, Cowboys (-11), Bengals (-9.5)
Hall:
No picks. It's a bold strategy Cotton, let's see how that plays out for him.
Mobley: 2-2; +$80
W $90 Saints (-11)
L $10 Giants (-6.5)
L $10 Lions (-3.5)
W $10 Chiefs (+10)
Eller: 2-2, -$60
L $70 Panthers (-3)
W $10 Patriots (-10.5)
W $10 Colts (-1)
L $10 Steelers (-10)
Saturday, November 21, 2009
WEEK 11 LINES
Two more weeks to jockey for position...after week 12 top 5 bonuses will be paid out again.
Here are this week's lines...the only question is, why are the Skins getting 11 points when they are going to win @ Dallas outright? 7 IN A ROW. PLAYOFFS. SUPER BOWL. GET ON THE BANDWAGON.
THURSDAY
Dolphins @ Panthers (-3)
SUNDAY
Browns @ Lions (-3.5)
Bills @ Jaguars (-8.5)
Steelers (-10) @ Chiefs
Colts (-1) @ Ravens
Falcons @ Giants (-6.5)
49ers @ Packers (-6.5)
Seahawks @ Vikings (-10.5)
Redskins @ Cowboys (-11)
Saints (-11) @ Bucs
Cardinals (-9) @ Rams
Jets @ Patriots (-10.5)
Bengals (-9.5) @ Raiders
Eagles (-3) @ Bears
MONDAY
Titans @ Texans (-4.5)
MONDAY NIGHT PROPS - Titans @ Texans
Total Points o/u 48
Total sacks by both teams o/u 3
V. Young o/u 29.5 rush yds
C. Johnson o/u 100.5 rush yds
M. Schaub o/u 24.5 completions
A. Johnson o/u 92.5 rec yds
Here are this week's lines...the only question is, why are the Skins getting 11 points when they are going to win @ Dallas outright? 7 IN A ROW. PLAYOFFS. SUPER BOWL. GET ON THE BANDWAGON.
THURSDAY
Dolphins @ Panthers (-3)
SUNDAY
Browns @ Lions (-3.5)
Bills @ Jaguars (-8.5)
Steelers (-10) @ Chiefs
Colts (-1) @ Ravens
Falcons @ Giants (-6.5)
49ers @ Packers (-6.5)
Seahawks @ Vikings (-10.5)
Redskins @ Cowboys (-11)
Saints (-11) @ Bucs
Cardinals (-9) @ Rams
Jets @ Patriots (-10.5)
Bengals (-9.5) @ Raiders
Eagles (-3) @ Bears
MONDAY
Titans @ Texans (-4.5)
MONDAY NIGHT PROPS - Titans @ Texans
Total Points o/u 48
Total sacks by both teams o/u 3
V. Young o/u 29.5 rush yds
C. Johnson o/u 100.5 rush yds
M. Schaub o/u 24.5 completions
A. Johnson o/u 92.5 rec yds
Sunday, November 15, 2009
WEEK 10 PICKS/RESULTS
All of you who went to bed like I almost did missed the most unbelievable 4 and a half minutes of the season. Did Brady and Bellicheck summon their inner Pete Carroll to go for that 4th and 2? Call it arrogance. Call it ballsy. Call it having no faith in your defense. Call it stupid. I call it a loss. Suck it, Pats.
Mills: 4-2; +$200
L $100 Broncos (-3.5)
W $100 Chargers (-2.5)
W $100 Bengals (+7)
W $100 Titans (-6.5)
W $100 Moss OVER 85.5 rec yds
L $100 Cowboys (-3)
Strait: 2-2; -$700
L $800 Falcons (-1.5)
W $200 Bengals (+7)
L $200 Saints (-13.5)
W $100 R. Moss OVER 85.5 rec yds
Mansfield: 2-2; -$150
L $200 Falcons (-1.5)
W $100 Ravens (-10.5)
W $50 Titans (-6.5)
L $100 Parlay - Falcons (-1.5), Ravens (-10.5), Titans (-6.5)
J Furnas: 2-2; -$700
L $500 Broncos (-3.5)
L $500 Saints (-13.5)
W $200 Panthers (+1.5)
W $100 Cardinals (-9)
Kessler: 3-1; -$60
W $10 Jags (+7)
W $20 Chargers (-2.5)
W $10 Pats (+3)
L $100 Parlay - 49ers (-3), Falcons (-1.5), Broncos (-3.5)
Shade: 2-3; +$120
L $100 Saints (-13.5)
W $100 Colts-Pats OVER 48.5 pts
W $35 J. Addai 1st to score TD (6/1) +$210
L $15 B. Watson 1st to score TD (12/1)
L $75 Parlay - Falcons (-1.5), Saints (-13.5), Bucs (+10)
Saunders: 4-3-1; +$10
W $50 Brady OVER 283.5 pass yds
L $150 Broncos (-3.5)
W $50 Packers (+3)
W $100 Pats (+3)
W $25 Ravens (-10.5)
P $25 Manning UNDER 28 completions
L $40 Raiders (-2)
L $25 Parlay - Titans (-6.5), Lions (+16.5), Falcons (-1.5)
Hill: 5-8; -$340
W $10 Jags (+7)
L $10 Broncos (-3.5)
W $50 Titans (-6.5)
W $10 Vikings (-16.5)
L $40 Saints (-13.5)
L $50 Falcons (-1.5)
L $200 Dolphins (-10)
W $10 Cardinals (-9)
L $10 Cowboys (-3)
W $10 Chargers (-2.5)
L $10 Colts-Pats UNDER 48.5 pts
L $10 B. Watson scores first TD (12/1)
L $100 Parlay - Titans (-6.5), Dolphins (-10), Falcons (-1.5)
B Furnas: 1-7; -$175
L $25 Steelers (-7)
L $25 Saints (-13.5)
W $25 Panthers (+1.5)
L $25 Seahawks (+9)
L $25 Colts (-3)
L $50 Dolphins (-10)
L $25 Clark scores first TD
L $25 Brady UNDER 283.5 pass yds
Hall:
No picks from Hall this week. It's a bold strategy Cotton, let's see how that works out for him.
Eller: 0-4; -$120
L $10 Broncos (-3.5)
L $10 Dolphins (-10)
L $10 Cowboys (-3)
L $90 Parlay - Broncos (-3.5), Dolphins (-10), Cowboys (-3)
Mobley: 1-3; -$100
L $50 Saints (-13.5)
W $10 Bengals (+7)
L $10 Falcons (-1.5)
L $50 Reggie Wayne scores 1st TD (6/1)
Mills: 4-2; +$200
L $100 Broncos (-3.5)
W $100 Chargers (-2.5)
W $100 Bengals (+7)
W $100 Titans (-6.5)
W $100 Moss OVER 85.5 rec yds
L $100 Cowboys (-3)
Strait: 2-2; -$700
L $800 Falcons (-1.5)
W $200 Bengals (+7)
L $200 Saints (-13.5)
W $100 R. Moss OVER 85.5 rec yds
Mansfield: 2-2; -$150
L $200 Falcons (-1.5)
W $100 Ravens (-10.5)
W $50 Titans (-6.5)
L $100 Parlay - Falcons (-1.5), Ravens (-10.5), Titans (-6.5)
J Furnas: 2-2; -$700
L $500 Broncos (-3.5)
L $500 Saints (-13.5)
W $200 Panthers (+1.5)
W $100 Cardinals (-9)
Kessler: 3-1; -$60
W $10 Jags (+7)
W $20 Chargers (-2.5)
W $10 Pats (+3)
L $100 Parlay - 49ers (-3), Falcons (-1.5), Broncos (-3.5)
Shade: 2-3; +$120
L $100 Saints (-13.5)
W $100 Colts-Pats OVER 48.5 pts
W $35 J. Addai 1st to score TD (6/1) +$210
L $15 B. Watson 1st to score TD (12/1)
L $75 Parlay - Falcons (-1.5), Saints (-13.5), Bucs (+10)
Saunders: 4-3-1; +$10
W $50 Brady OVER 283.5 pass yds
L $150 Broncos (-3.5)
W $50 Packers (+3)
W $100 Pats (+3)
W $25 Ravens (-10.5)
P $25 Manning UNDER 28 completions
L $40 Raiders (-2)
L $25 Parlay - Titans (-6.5), Lions (+16.5), Falcons (-1.5)
Hill: 5-8; -$340
W $10 Jags (+7)
L $10 Broncos (-3.5)
W $50 Titans (-6.5)
W $10 Vikings (-16.5)
L $40 Saints (-13.5)
L $50 Falcons (-1.5)
L $200 Dolphins (-10)
W $10 Cardinals (-9)
L $10 Cowboys (-3)
W $10 Chargers (-2.5)
L $10 Colts-Pats UNDER 48.5 pts
L $10 B. Watson scores first TD (12/1)
L $100 Parlay - Titans (-6.5), Dolphins (-10), Falcons (-1.5)
B Furnas: 1-7; -$175
L $25 Steelers (-7)
L $25 Saints (-13.5)
W $25 Panthers (+1.5)
L $25 Seahawks (+9)
L $25 Colts (-3)
L $50 Dolphins (-10)
L $25 Clark scores first TD
L $25 Brady UNDER 283.5 pass yds
Hall:
No picks from Hall this week. It's a bold strategy Cotton, let's see how that works out for him.
Eller: 0-4; -$120
L $10 Broncos (-3.5)
L $10 Dolphins (-10)
L $10 Cowboys (-3)
L $90 Parlay - Broncos (-3.5), Dolphins (-10), Cowboys (-3)
Mobley: 1-3; -$100
L $50 Saints (-13.5)
W $10 Bengals (+7)
L $10 Falcons (-1.5)
L $50 Reggie Wayne scores 1st TD (6/1)
Saturday, November 14, 2009
WEEK 10 LINES
And...it's week 10. Time for a brief level set of the situation that faces us.
Collier "The Weatherman" Mills has the biggest lead in Unified Fund history at $885. Yet, Collier, a Mickelson-like character in both his love for donuts and mental weakness, is not thinking about winning right now. He's thinking about holding on. Playing not to lose. Trying to figure out how he's not going to choke away the LARGEST LEAD in Unified Fund history. This conflict of mind and body will ultimately lead to him making a catastrophic mistake - such as taking a driver off the 72nd hole at Winged Foot...or wearing tight pinstriped pants with a white belt.
After Mills, the next 5 Unified Fund combatants (Strait, Mansfield, J Furn, Kessler, and Shade)are lumped together all less than $80 apart. A few hundred back of them, the historically conservative Saunders continues to play his game. Saunders' record is 13 games below .500, but his displined, steady play resembles Kinnish from Rounders. And I think we all respect that, even if you've never seen Rounders.
Then you have Mr. Hill, who is leading the Unified Fund with a whopping 91 bets made this year (an average of 10.1 bets a week). He's not going to win any bonus money for winning %, that's for sure, but his go-for-broke style makes you respect him...or, make you wonder how he could possibly win any money continuing on this pace.
Furnas and Mobley have fallen on hard times, but seem to be willing their way back into contention. Furnas had a hot start to the season, but didn't know how to handle success. Reports are that after his perfect 4-0 week Furnas, Furnas began a downward spiral that included Furnas admitting that he "hates Unified Fund", along with Crystal Meth usage. Furnas actually tested positive for drugs during one of the UF required random drug test screenings a few weeks ago, but he wrote an apology letter claiming it was a one-time thing and it was unintentional...so he avoided a suspension from Unified Fund Discplinary Chairman (Eller, that's you). He also admitted to wearing a weave in the late 90s.
Behind Furnas and Mobley you have Unified Fund Rookie Brian Q. Hall. After a torrid start to the season (even though he had a UF high 2 scratches), Hall was riding high near the top of the leaderboard. Then week 8 and week 9 happened. Hall went an astonishing 2-10 to lose $1,080. It's a cold streak that we haven't seen before here at the Unified Fund.
Then there's Eller...who has been at the bottom of the Unified Fund leaderboard since...well, about week 11 of last year. Eller's current stimulus plan seems to be a weekly dose of 3 $10 bets, and then putting the remaining $100 on those same 3 teams in a Parlay. I'm not a mathematician, but this strategy seems highly terrible. If you go 2-1 you lose $90. Eller, I'm rooting for you. Give yourself a chance. Remember, allowances stop this year after Week 17.
That wasn't very brief. Here are this week's lines...
THURSDAY
Bears @ 49ers (-3)
SUNDAY & MONDAY
Jags @ Jets (-7)
Broncos (-3.5) @ Redskins
Bengals @ Steelers (-7)
Bills @ Titans (-6.5)
Lions @ Vikings (-16.5)
Saints (-13.5) @ Rams
Falcons (-1.5) @ Panthers
Bucs @ Dolphins (-10)
Chiefs @ Raiders (-2)
Seahawks @ Cardinals (-9)
Cowboys (-3) @ Packers
Eagles @ Chargers (-2.5)
Patriots @ Colts (-3)
Ravens (-10.5) @ Browns
PROPS (All for Colts-Pats)
Total Points o/u 48.5 pts
Brady (NE) o/u 283.5 pass yds
Moss (NE) o/u 85.5 rec yds
Manning (IND) o/u 28 total completions
Wayne (IND) o/u 84.5 rec yds
Player to score first TD of game:
A. Collie (IND) - 15/1
D. Clark (IND) - 8/1
R. Wayne (IND) - 6/1
P. Garcon (IND) - 15/1
J. Addai (IND) - 6/1
D. Brown (IND) - 15/1
R. Moss (NE) - 9/2
W. Welker (NE) - 7/1
K. Faulk (NE) - 15/1
L. Maroney (NE) - 7/1
B. Watson (NE) - 12/1
S. Aiken (NE) - 20/1
Collier "The Weatherman" Mills has the biggest lead in Unified Fund history at $885. Yet, Collier, a Mickelson-like character in both his love for donuts and mental weakness, is not thinking about winning right now. He's thinking about holding on. Playing not to lose. Trying to figure out how he's not going to choke away the LARGEST LEAD in Unified Fund history. This conflict of mind and body will ultimately lead to him making a catastrophic mistake - such as taking a driver off the 72nd hole at Winged Foot...or wearing tight pinstriped pants with a white belt.
After Mills, the next 5 Unified Fund combatants (Strait, Mansfield, J Furn, Kessler, and Shade)are lumped together all less than $80 apart. A few hundred back of them, the historically conservative Saunders continues to play his game. Saunders' record is 13 games below .500, but his displined, steady play resembles Kinnish from Rounders. And I think we all respect that, even if you've never seen Rounders.
Then you have Mr. Hill, who is leading the Unified Fund with a whopping 91 bets made this year (an average of 10.1 bets a week). He's not going to win any bonus money for winning %, that's for sure, but his go-for-broke style makes you respect him...or, make you wonder how he could possibly win any money continuing on this pace.
Furnas and Mobley have fallen on hard times, but seem to be willing their way back into contention. Furnas had a hot start to the season, but didn't know how to handle success. Reports are that after his perfect 4-0 week Furnas, Furnas began a downward spiral that included Furnas admitting that he "hates Unified Fund", along with Crystal Meth usage. Furnas actually tested positive for drugs during one of the UF required random drug test screenings a few weeks ago, but he wrote an apology letter claiming it was a one-time thing and it was unintentional...so he avoided a suspension from Unified Fund Discplinary Chairman (Eller, that's you). He also admitted to wearing a weave in the late 90s.
Behind Furnas and Mobley you have Unified Fund Rookie Brian Q. Hall. After a torrid start to the season (even though he had a UF high 2 scratches), Hall was riding high near the top of the leaderboard. Then week 8 and week 9 happened. Hall went an astonishing 2-10 to lose $1,080. It's a cold streak that we haven't seen before here at the Unified Fund.
Then there's Eller...who has been at the bottom of the Unified Fund leaderboard since...well, about week 11 of last year. Eller's current stimulus plan seems to be a weekly dose of 3 $10 bets, and then putting the remaining $100 on those same 3 teams in a Parlay. I'm not a mathematician, but this strategy seems highly terrible. If you go 2-1 you lose $90. Eller, I'm rooting for you. Give yourself a chance. Remember, allowances stop this year after Week 17.
That wasn't very brief. Here are this week's lines...
THURSDAY
Bears @ 49ers (-3)
SUNDAY & MONDAY
Jags @ Jets (-7)
Broncos (-3.5) @ Redskins
Bengals @ Steelers (-7)
Bills @ Titans (-6.5)
Lions @ Vikings (-16.5)
Saints (-13.5) @ Rams
Falcons (-1.5) @ Panthers
Bucs @ Dolphins (-10)
Chiefs @ Raiders (-2)
Seahawks @ Cardinals (-9)
Cowboys (-3) @ Packers
Eagles @ Chargers (-2.5)
Patriots @ Colts (-3)
Ravens (-10.5) @ Browns
PROPS (All for Colts-Pats)
Total Points o/u 48.5 pts
Brady (NE) o/u 283.5 pass yds
Moss (NE) o/u 85.5 rec yds
Manning (IND) o/u 28 total completions
Wayne (IND) o/u 84.5 rec yds
Player to score first TD of game:
A. Collie (IND) - 15/1
D. Clark (IND) - 8/1
R. Wayne (IND) - 6/1
P. Garcon (IND) - 15/1
J. Addai (IND) - 6/1
D. Brown (IND) - 15/1
R. Moss (NE) - 9/2
W. Welker (NE) - 7/1
K. Faulk (NE) - 15/1
L. Maroney (NE) - 7/1
B. Watson (NE) - 12/1
S. Aiken (NE) - 20/1
Friday, November 13, 2009
Vegas Is Smarter Than You
Here's how the 128 NFL games so far this season have ended up:
- 2 went off at a pick 'em
- 63 times the favorite covered
- 63 times the underdog covered
Happy picking,
Blake
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